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Could a solar storm cut the UK's power? What the National Risk Register says

The short answer

It could, in some areas, but it is a planning scenario, not a prediction. The National Risk Register 2026 plans for a storm on the scale of the 1859 Carrington event, scores its likelihood 4 out of 5 (5 to 25% over 5 years) and its impact 4 out of 5 (significant). It could cause regional power cuts and disrupt GPS, satellites and some radio. The Met Office forecasts space weather around the clock. At home, prepare as you would for any long power cut.

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It could, in some areas, but it is a planning scenario, not a prediction. The National Risk Register 2026 plans for a storm on the scale of the 1859 Carrington event, scores its likelihood 4 out of 5 (5 to 25% over 5 years) and its impact 4 out of 5 (significant). It could cause regional power cuts and disrupt GPS, satellites and some radio. The Met Office forecasts space weather around the clock. At home, prepare as you would for any long power cut.

What is space weather?

The Met Office says space weather describes conditions in space that can affect Earth. It is driven by particles, energy and magnetic fields from the Sun, not by air and water like our usual weather. The most visible sign is the Northern Lights.

The National Risk Register 2026 explains that space weather includes solar flares, solar energetic particles and coronal mass ejections (large clouds of material thrown out by the Sun). It says day-to-day space weather causes little more than the Northern Lights, but strong events can disrupt many important technologies. Satellites are especially at risk.

What does the National Risk Register say about solar storms?

The National Risk Register is the government's public list of the most serious risks the UK could face. The 2026 edition was published on GOV.UK on 14 July 2026. Each risk is a "reasonable worst-case scenario": the worst plausible version, used so that planners can prepare in proportion. It is not a forecast.

For severe space weather, the register says:

What the register says Detail
Scenario A severe event about the size of the Carrington Storm of 1859, lasting 1 to 2 weeks
Likelihood score 4 out of 5 (5 to 25%)
Impact score 4 out of 5 (significant)
Time period for likelihood 5 years (used for all non-malicious risks)
Possible effects Regional power disruption, GPS and other satellite navigation, satellite communications, high frequency radio, aviation
Power recovery Hours in urban areas after safety trips; possibly several months where transformers are damaged in remote coastal areas
Satellite navigation recovery Several days, with a small number of satellites lost

The register says the effects would be global, but how bad they are depends on latitude, how much services rely on space, and how resilient infrastructure is. During a long repair, it says mobile back-up generators would be needed in some areas.

The Met Office says solar storms were first added to the register in 2011. So this is not new, and it has been planned for over many years.

Who would be most affected?

The register says vulnerable people would likely be hit hardest by a local loss of power, especially:

  • people who use medical equipment at home
  • people who need support at home, such as home visits
  • older people, young children and disabled people, if a power cut means losing heating, water, transport and communications

If this is you or someone you care for, join the Priority Services Register. GOV.UK Be Ready says it is a free service for people with additional needs. See our Priority Services Register guide.

Who forecasts solar storms in the UK?

The Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre (MOSWOC). The Met Office says it is one of a few centres in the world that forecast space weather 24 hours a day. It gives forecasts and warnings to government, emergency responders, infrastructure operators and the public.

A Met Office article from January 2026 explains the warning time:

  • Coronal mass ejections usually take one to several days to reach Earth, which gives some notice.
  • Solar flare radiation arrives in about eight and a half minutes, so its effects can come with little warning.

The same article says the Met Office helps organisations protect sensitive equipment, adjust flight routes and watch power systems. These are the people who act on space weather warnings, not households.

Is there anything I can buy to protect my home from a solar storm?

No. No gadget protects a home from a solar storm, and we don't recommend "EMP" shields or similar products. The risk to homes is the same as in any long power cut, so the same simple kit covers it.

What should I do at home to prepare?

The steps are the same as for any long power cut. GOV.UK Be Ready suggests:

  • Torch and spare batteries (torches are safer than candles)
  • FM radio, battery or wind-up, with your local station frequencies written down
  • Charged power bank for phones or compatible medical devices
  • Cash, a mix of coins and notes, plus cards
  • Bottled water for 3 days: 3 litres per person per day for drinking
  • Non-perishable food for 3 days
  • Essential medicines and medical supplies
  • Blankets, sleeping bags and warm clothing
  • Important phone numbers on paper
  • A plan to check on neighbours, especially if the power goes out

Because the register says GPS could be disrupted, it also helps to know your local routes and keep important numbers written down rather than only in your phone.

For the first steps when the lights go out, see what to do in the first 10 minutes of a power cut. Be Ready says report a power cut free on 105 in England, Wales and Scotland.

Do I need a power station or a special radio?

Not for most homes. A charged power bank and a battery FM radio cover the basics. If someone needs to run a medical device or a fridge for longer, our power station size guide helps you work out what you'd need. For radios, see how to choose a wind-up or solar radio. For a longer outage of any cause, our long blackout guide goes further.

What to buy

About these links: plain links to ordinary retailer pages. We may earn from some links in future; we don't now. We haven’t tested these and we don’t rank them: they are examples that were in stock when we checked. Prices change. Check what you already own first. Full kit list

  • Torch or head torch, plus spare batteries

    Look for: Runs on the same AA or AAA batteries as your other kit, so one spare pack covers everything. A head torch leaves both hands free.

    • Alpkit Ionic 350 Lumen Head Torch · Alpkit · £15.99 (price on 1 November 2026) Shop
    • Lifesystems Intensity 155 LED Head Torch · Lifesystems (UK brand store) · £19.99 (price on 1 November 2026) Shop
    • Alpkit Kula 550 Lumen Head Torch · Alpkit · £19.99 (price on 1 November 2026) Shop
    • Lifesystems Intensity 480 LED Hand Torch · Lifesystems (UK brand store) · £29.99 (price on 1 November 2026) Shop
    • Dynamo Powered Wind-Up Pocket LED Torch · EVAQ8 · £3.60 (price on 1 November 2026) Shop
  • Battery or wind-up FM radio

    Look for: FM (Be Ready asks for FM; DAB as well is fine). Both a crank and ordinary batteries, so you have two ways to power it.

    • Duronic Wind-Up AM FM Radio with Solar Panel and USB Charging · EVAQ8 · £26.40 (price on 1 November 2026) Shop
  • Power bank

    Look for: From a seller you know. Check the capacity (mAh) against your phone, and that you have the right cable for each phone. Keep it charged.

    • Anker Zolo Power Bank 20000mAh 30W Built-in USB-C · Anker UK (brand store) · £34.99 (price on 1 November 2026) Shop
    • Anker Power Bank 20K 87W Built-In USB-C Cable · Anker UK (brand store) · £49.99 (price on 1 November 2026) Shop
  • Spare batteries

    Look for: The sizes your torch, radio and alarms take. Check the date on the pack.

General information, not professional advice. The National Risk Register is a planning tool, not a prediction. Follow official instructions and call 999 in an emergency.

Frequently asked questions

Is a solar storm on the UK National Risk Register?

Yes. The National Risk Register 2026 includes 'Severe space weather'. The Met Office says solar storms were first added to the register in 2011.

How likely is a severe solar storm, according to the UK government?

The National Risk Register 2026 scores the likelihood of its reasonable worst case at 4 on a 1 to 5 scale, which it defines as 5 to 25%. For non-malicious risks, the register assesses likelihood over 5 years.

What would a solar storm affect in the UK?

The register lists regional power disruption, loss or disruption of satellite navigation such as GPS, some telecommunications such as satellite communications and high frequency radio, and disruption to aviation.

How long could power be off after a solar storm?

The register says power lost to safety trips in urban areas could be back within hours. Where electricity transformers are damaged in remote coastal areas, it says recovery could take several months, with mobile back-up generation used meanwhile.

Should I buy an EMP shield or Faraday bag for a solar storm?

We don't recommend them. The official advice for households covers power cuts in general: a torch, a battery or wind-up radio, a charged power bank, water and food. No gadget protects a home from a solar storm.

Who warns the UK about space weather?

The Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre (MOSWOC). It gives forecasts and warnings around the clock to government, emergency responders, infrastructure operators and the public.

Sources

We opened each page on the date shown. Official advice changes: if a source says something different now, follow the source.

  1. Cabinet Office: National Risk Register 2026 (PDF, published 14 July 2026), 'Severe space weather' (pages 172–173) and risk methodology (page 15) (read 4 November 2026)
  2. GOV.UK: National Risk Register 2026 (publication page) (read 4 November 2026)
  3. Met Office: Space weather (read 4 November 2026)
  4. Met Office: The Met Office and space weather (read 4 November 2026)
  5. Met Office blog (21 January 2026): How the Met Office forecasts space weather and why it matters (read 4 November 2026)
  6. GOV.UK Be Ready: Be ready for emergencies (kit list) (read 4 November 2026)
  7. GOV.UK Be Ready: Power cuts (read 4 November 2026)

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We're an independent UK site, not the government. We check guides against official sources and link to them. In an emergency call 999.

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